@corgi4mvp·3hPUT and CHILL type of day
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We haven't seen a put and chill type of day in a long time @Corgi Trades
Anymore we are being greedy.
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October 13th Tuesday
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@trader-joe·3dOctober 11, 2026 | Woof Streets Research
Palantir Technologies ($PLTR) has become one of the most fascinating companies in the artificial intelligence revolution.
For years, investors struggled to understand what Palantir actually did. Was it a government contractor? A data analytics company? A defense technology business? Or simply another software company trading at an outrageous valuation?
Today, the conversation has changed.
Palantir is increasingly being viewed as a potential cornerstone of enterprise artificial intelligence, helping organizations move beyond experimenting with AI and toward actually using it to make operational decisions.
And Wall Street is beginning to recognize that opportunity.
Goldman Sachs recently upgraded Palantir to Buy with a $230 price target.
That target is particularly interesting because Palantir has already experienced an enormous rally. Goldman isn't looking at an undiscovered company trading at bargain-basement prices. It's looking at a company that has already attracted tremendous investor enthusiasm and still sees potential upside.
The question is why.
There is no shortage of companies promising to revolutionize the world with artificial intelligence.
Every major technology company is talking about AI. Every earnings call seems to include references to automation, machine learning, productivity improvements, and intelligent software.
But there's an enormous difference between demonstrating what AI can do and implementing it inside a real business.
That's where Palantir becomes interesting.
Its Artificial Intelligence Platform, commonly known as AIP, is designed to connect AI models with an organization's actual data, workflows, and decision-making processes.
Imagine a manufacturer trying to predict equipment failures before they happen.
Or a hospital system attempting to optimize staffing, inventory, and patient flow.
Or a defense organization analyzing enormous quantities of intelligence to make faster operational decisions.
These aren't simply chatbot applications.
They involve complicated systems, sensitive information, multiple data sources, and decisions that can have significant financial or operational consequences.
Palantir wants to become the software layer connecting all those moving pieces.
And if the company succeeds, the opportunity could be enormous.
I believe the next phase of the AI revolution will be very different from the first.
The initial phase was dominated by infrastructure.
Nvidia supplied the computing power. Hyperscalers invested heavily in data centers. Semiconductor companies benefited from extraordinary demand.
But eventually, businesses need to justify those investments.
They need measurable improvements in productivity, efficiency, and profitability.
That's where enterprise software companies such as Palantir could become increasingly important.
Consider how many large organizations still rely on fragmented systems, outdated databases, manual processes, and disconnected departments.
Even companies spending billions on technology frequently struggle to turn their information into actionable intelligence.
Palantir's opportunity is to help solve that problem.
And unlike a consumer application that might be abandoned after a few months, software deeply integrated into critical business operations can become extremely difficult to replace.
That creates the possibility of long-term customer relationships, recurring revenue, and expanding contract values.
Of course, those advantages depend on successful implementation, customer retention, and demonstrating genuine economic value.
Goldman Sachs' $230 target represents a bullish outlook on Palantir's future.
I view the investment thesis through three major themes.
First: Enterprise AI spending could continue expanding.
Companies are still in the early stages of implementing AI across their operations. If AI adoption continues moving from experimentation toward full-scale deployment, Palantir could benefit from a much larger addressable market.
Second: Palantir has the potential to become deeply embedded in customer operations.
The more essential its software becomes to an organization, the more opportunities Palantir may have to expand existing relationships and introduce additional capabilities.
Third: Revenue growth combined with software economics can create significant operating leverage.
If Palantir can grow revenue while controlling expenses, profitability could potentially increase faster than sales.
That combination is extremely attractive to growth investors.
However, I want to make one distinction.
These are the fundamental arguments supporting a bullish $230 scenario, not a verified breakdown of Goldman Sachs' proprietary valuation model.
And a $230 price target doesn't mean the stock is guaranteed to reach $230.
Wall Street targets are estimates, not promises.
One of Palantir's most important competitive advantages is its experience working with government agencies and defense organizations.
These are environments where security, reliability, access controls, and data integration are essential.
Developing software for such demanding customers can create expertise that is difficult for competitors to replicate.
Government relationships may also provide long-term opportunities as defense agencies modernize their technology infrastructure.
AI is increasingly relevant to intelligence analysis, logistics, operational planning, and national security.
Palantir is positioned to compete for those opportunities.
But government business carries risks as well.
Contracts can be politically sensitive, procurement processes can be lengthy, and spending priorities can change.
Investors shouldn't assume every government opportunity automatically becomes profitable revenue.
This is where I become more cautious.
I like Palantir's business opportunity.
I like its positioning in enterprise AI.
I like the potential for long-term software adoption.
But liking a company and liking its stock at any price are two completely different things.
Palantir carries substantial expectations.
Investors are already pricing in years of growth, continued customer adoption, and strong execution.
That creates very little room for disappointment.
If revenue growth slows, margins disappoint, or enterprise AI spending takes longer than expected to materialize, the stock could experience a significant correction even if the underlying business remains healthy.
Competition is another concern.
Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Oracle, and numerous enterprise software providers are investing aggressively in AI capabilities.
Palantir may have important advantages, but it doesn't have the market to itself.
And that's why I believe investors need to approach this company with both enthusiasm and discipline.
A great company can still become a terrible investment if purchased at an unreasonable valuation.
I believe artificial intelligence will eventually become a standard component of how major organizations operate.
Not simply a tool employees occasionally open to ask questions.
I'm talking about AI integrated into supply chains, manufacturing, financial operations, healthcare, government systems, and corporate decision-making.
The companies that successfully provide that infrastructure could become some of the most important software businesses of the next decade.
Palantir has a credible opportunity to be one of them.
But the next stage of its story will need to be supported by results.
I want to see continued commercial adoption, expanding customer relationships, durable revenue growth, and profitability that justifies the valuation.
That's what will ultimately separate the long-term winners from the companies that simply benefited from AI enthusiasm.
The four-hour chart shows a bullish breakout from a tightening consolidation, with ascending support and rising resistance converging before price pushed higher.
Key levels:
$194.76: Previous resistance, now potential support.
$204.42: Important breakout level to hold.
$208.74: Price shown on your chart.
$222.33: My technical upside target.
$230: Goldman Sachs' price target.
The structure resembles a rising wedge more than a textbook ascending triangle, so I would be careful about assuming the breakout will automatically continue.
Nevertheless, the move above $204.42 is encouraging. A successful retest of that level would strengthen the bullish case.
My outlook: As long as PLTR holds above $204.42, I'm watching for continuation toward $222.33. A sustained move below $194.76 would materially weaken the near-term bullish setup.
This chart tells the story much more clearly for your blog: consolidation, breakout, and a defined upside target.
I remain constructive on Palantir's long-term business prospects.
The company operates at the intersection of several powerful trends: artificial intelligence, enterprise software modernization, government technology, and data-driven decision-making.
Goldman Sachs' $230 target reinforces the idea that institutional investors still see opportunities beyond the stock's remarkable recovery.
But I'm not interested in chasing a narrative without respecting valuation and technical risk.
For me, the immediate question is whether Palantir can turn this major supply zone into support.
If it does, the next leg higher could become very interesting.
The future of AI isn't just about building smarter models. It's about putting those models to work in the real world. And Palantir wants to be the company making that happen.
Disclaimer: This article reflects my personal market analysis and opinions, not financial advice. All investments carry risk.
@trader-joe·4dLimited time only.
@corgi4mvp·5dMassive day on live
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$TSLA 390 Call 1.00 : 💵 50%
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$INTC 106 Call : 💵 25%
$AMZN 260 c .93 : 💵 30%
$SPY 777 Put : 💵 35%
$SPY 778 Put : 💵 50%
$MU 1010 Put : 💵 100%
$META 725 Call : 💵 70%
$NVDA $230 Put .90 : 60🩸 30%
$AMD 607.50 PUT 1.10 💵 30%
$SPY $776 Put Oct 12 🩸 10%
$SPX $7815 Call 0DTE 1.50 - 8.00 💵 300%
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$BP $46 Put Oct 16 0.55 💵 25%
@trader-joe·Oct 7Silver has been one of the wildest major-asset stories of the last two years.
It went from being largely ignored to becoming one of the hottest trades in the market. Then, almost as quickly, momentum disappeared.
For anyone looking only at the recent weakness, it is easy to say the silver trade is finished.
I don't think it's that simple.
My view right now is actually mixed: I don't particularly like the short-term chart, but I still understand the long-term bull case for silver.
Those two things can be true at the same time.
---
Silver entered 2025 below $29/oz.
By December, it had reached roughly $84. Then the move became almost ridiculous.
In January 2026, silver broke $100 for the first time and ultimately traded above $120 before reversing violently. According to the Silver Institute, 2025's average silver price increased approximately 42%, and the physical market recorded its fifth consecutive annual supply deficit. The Silver Institute
That wasn't some ordinary commodity rally.
It was a combination of several things happening simultaneously:
Physical supply was tight. Investment demand surged. Inventories were under pressure. Geopolitical uncertainty increased. And investors were looking for alternatives to traditional financial assets.
Once silver finally broke out, momentum traders piled in.
And that's the thing about silver.
It tends to do absolutely nothing for what feels like forever...
Then when it moves, it MOVES.
---
Silver is an unusual asset because it essentially has two identities.
It's a precious metal like gold.
But it's also an industrial metal.
That distinction matters.
Silver is used across electronics, solar, automobiles, data centers and other technologies. The AI/data-center buildout is another source of structural demand. The Silver Institute
So unlike gold, the silver bull case isn't exclusively:
Inflation is coming. Buy precious metals.
There is an actual industrial-demand component underneath it.
And supply isn't infinitely elastic.
The Silver Institute expects the global silver market to remain in deficit again in 2026 — which would make it the sixth consecutive annual deficit. The Silver Institute
That's probably the strongest argument for silver over the long run.
---
The problem wasn't necessarily that the silver thesis suddenly died.
The problem was price.
Markets can take a legitimate long-term thesis and push it way too far, way too quickly.
Once silver went parabolic above $100, expectations became extreme.
Eventually there simply weren't enough new buyers willing to chase it higher.
And when a parabolic move breaks, the decline can be just as violent as the ascent.
That's exactly what happened.
Silver futures ultimately fell almost 47% from their January record high by early October. The Wall Street Journal
SLV experienced essentially the same phenomenon.
The iShares Silver Trust exists primarily to track silver bullion prices, so when physical silver gets crushed, SLV follows it. BlackRock
This isn't NVDA.
There aren't earnings coming next quarter that suddenly change the valuation.
SLV is basically the silver trade.
---
This is where I separate the investment thesis from the trade.
Fundamentally, I can still make a bullish argument for silver.
Technically?
I'm cautious.
Look at the weekly SLV chart I posted.
We had a very clean long-term rising trendline beginning around early 2025.
That trend carried SLV through the entire explosive move.
Now we're starting to lose it.
More importantly, since the blow-off top, SLV has been producing lower highs.
That tells me sellers are still showing up earlier on every major rally.
And that's why I'm focused on one area:
Not because $49.01 is some magical number.
Support doesn't work that way.
Think of it as a zone.
That area previously mattered on the chart, and if the current weekly trend continues deteriorating, I think it becomes a very logical place for SLV to test.
---
Right now, I'm short-term bearish / cautious.
If SLV continues losing this weekly trendline and cannot reclaim it, I think there's potentially a trade toward the $49–$50 area.
That could present a short-duration put opportunity for traders who understand the risk.
But here's the important part:
I don't want to chase puts into $49.
That's where the risk/reward potentially begins changing.
If SLV reaches $49–$50 and buyers aggressively defend it, I'm much more interested in watching for a reversal than continuing to press the short.
Trade what's in front of you.
Don't fall in love with the direction.
---
There are legitimate reasons to remain bullish on silver over a longer time horizon.
The physical silver market has experienced persistent supply deficits. Mine supply can't simply be turned on overnight, while several industrial applications continue expanding.
AI infrastructure, data centers, automobiles, electronics and electrification all require materials, including silver. The Silver Institute
Silver also retains its monetary-metal characteristics.
If Treasury yields eventually decline materially, the dollar weakens, geopolitical uncertainty increases or investors begin moving aggressively back toward precious metals, silver could benefit.
That's particularly important because non-yielding assets like silver face greater competition when Treasury yields are high. Recent elevated yields have been one of the forces pressuring precious metals. The Wall Street Journal
There is also a psychological component.
Silver already proved that it can attract enormous investment flows.
Markets remember.
If silver eventually establishes a legitimate bottom and begins reclaiming major technical levels, money can return very quickly.
---
There are also reasons not to blindly buy every silver dip.
First, high interest rates matter.
Silver doesn't pay interest.
When investors can earn attractive yields from relatively safe fixed-income assets, the opportunity cost of holding precious metals increases.
Second, silver isn't purely a safe-haven asset.
Its industrial exposure is both a strength and a weakness.
If the global economy slows materially, industrial demand can weaken.
Third, high prices themselves can destroy demand.
This is already happening.
The Silver Institute expects industrial silver fabrication to decline around 2% in 2026. Solar installations are still expanding, but manufacturers are finding ways to use less silver and substitute other materials where possible. Jewelry and silverware demand are also expected to decline substantially as high prices discourage consumers. The Silver Institute
That's important.
People sometimes look at a supply deficit and assume:
Deficit = price must go higher.
Markets aren't that simple.
Higher prices encourage recycling, substitution and efficiency while simultaneously reducing price-sensitive demand.
Eventually the market adapts.
---
Silver isn't gold.
Historically, silver can behave almost like gold on steroids.
That's great when you're right.
It's brutal when you're wrong.
We just watched silver go from above $120 to around $60 in the same year. The Silver Institute
That's not normal stock-market volatility.
So when somebody tells me:
“Silver fundamentals are bullish, so I'm just going to hold.”
My response is:
What's your timeframe?
Because that changes everything.
A thesis can ultimately be correct while your position gets destroyed along the way.
---
For traders and investors who don't want to purchase and store physical silver, SLV provides an extremely simple way to get exposure.
The iShares Silver Trust primarily holds physical silver bullion and seeks to reflect silver's price performance. As of March 31, it held roughly 491 million ounces of silver. BlackRock
Easy to buy and sell.
Highly liquid.
Options are available.
No physical storage.
No dealing with coins, bars, dealers or spreads.
Direct exposure to silver without having to analyze individual mining companies.
You don't physically possess the silver.
SLV charges a 0.50% sponsor fee, creating some drag over long holding periods. BlackRock
It produces no income or dividend.
And unlike owning a business, there's no underlying earnings growth compounding your investment.
SLV ultimately depends on one major variable:
The price of silver.
---
This distinction is extremely important.
If I'm investing, I care about the multi-year silver thesis.
Supply.
Demand.
Industrial consumption.
Monetary policy.
Inflation.
Dollar strength.
Interest rates.
Global uncertainty.
Those things matter.
But if I'm trading SLV, I care about the chart in front of me.
And right now that chart is telling me to be careful.
That's why I can simultaneously say:
I like silver long term.
And:
I wouldn't blindly buy SLV right here.
There is absolutely no contradiction between those statements.
---
This is where things become interesting to me.
If SLV continues lower toward $49–$50, I'm watching the reaction.
If price reaches that zone and starts producing strong rejection wicks, higher lows, increasing volume and eventually reclaims short-term moving averages?
Now I'm interested.
That could give us a defined-risk bounce setup.
But if $49 fails convincingly?
Then I'm not going to stand underneath it trying to catch the knife simply because silver is “cheap.”
I'll redraw the chart and find the next level.
Price determines the trade.
---
I don't need to predict the bottom.
I'd rather let SLV prove itself.
I'd want to see $49–$50 hold if tested.
Then I'd want to see price establish a higher low.
After that, start reclaiming prior resistance.
Eventually, the larger descending trendline becomes the real test.
If SLV eventually breaks that downtrend and begins making higher highs and higher lows again, the technical picture changes dramatically.
That's when the long-term fundamentals and the technical structure could start pointing in the same direction again.
And those are the setups I like.
---
Simple.
A decisive weekly loss of $49–$50.
Especially if SLV breaks it, attempts to reclaim it and gets rejected.
That would turn former support into potential resistance.
At that point, I wouldn't care how many people told me silver was fundamentally undervalued.
The chart would be telling us something else.
---
Silver's story isn't over.
The run from below $30 in early 2025 to above $120 in early 2026 was extraordinary. But expecting an asset to make that kind of move without eventually experiencing a brutal correction was unrealistic. The Silver Institute
Now we're in the less exciting part.
The market is trying to determine what silver is actually worth after the mania disappeared.
And that's where patience matters.
Long term, I still see plenty to like: persistent supply deficits, constrained mine supply, investment demand and growing technological uses.
Short term, however, SLV looks vulnerable.
I'm watching the weekly trendline being lost.
I'm watching the lower highs.
And most importantly:
There may be a short-term put trade on the way down.
There may eventually be a very attractive bounce trade when we get there.
Or SLV may invalidate the entire bearish setup and reclaim the trend.
I don't need to know today.
I'm not here to predict every candle. I'm here to identify the important levels, control my risk, and react when price gets there.
That's trading.
NFA. Educational purposes only.
@trader-joe·Sep 29Major catalyst today but it sold off. Will it pop it again> Navitas was awarded a U.S. Army contract to develop next-gen 10 kV SiC power semiconductor technology.
Stock was under $12, exploded toward $15 on the news, and is now it round trip back to where it was.
Now I want to see if $NVTS can hold the breakout and turn that descending resistance into support.
This could get interesting fast if AI stocks pump. It needs help.
@trader-joe·Sep 29@trader-joe·Sep 29Do yourself a favor. Open tradingview and check TSLA's weekly chart.
How's my prediction looking?
@trader-joe·Sep 28A brighter financial future starts here.
