Bad MMA Bets

Model-driven MMA fight handicapping. Get data-backed picks before every card YTD: 195-408 (32.7%) Total Risked 470.32u✅+56.81u (12.1% ROI)
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Created byProfile pictureGabcast
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GabcastProfile picture@gabcast·Apr 6

Gambling is a fickle thing. That's exactly why I built the model, to remove my own bias and just follow the data.

With a betting sample size of almost 3,000 bets, I've been able to identify exactly which parts of the model are profitable and which aren't. Cold streaks happen. Hot streaks happen. I can't promise immediate success (nobody can). What I can offer is a system that has proven profitable long term.

No guarantees in gambling. But you can take emotion out of it and play the numbers. That's how you beat the books. Not with one massive parlay but with consistent, disciplined results.


YTD results are in my bio but here are lifetime results -

As of 8/3/2026:


Total:1607-2141✅️195.29u


Some plays are tracked on Betmma.tips/badmma, Dubclub, and Juice reel. All can’t be tracked because I also bet regional MMA which isn't always supported but there is a time stamp for every single bet.

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GabcastProfile picture@gabcast·Apr 6
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This is where the model lives.

Bad MMA Bets is built around a proprietary data model I've been developing and refining to find real edge in UFC and MMA betting.


YTD: 195-408 (32.7%)


Total Risked 470.32u✅+56.81u (12.1% ROI)


ML: 155-137(53.1%)✅+46.84u (10.5% ROI)

Parlays: 40-273 (12.8%)✅+10.34u (41.4% ROI)

Prop: 2-13(13.3%)❌ -1.67u (-44.5% ROI)


Every bet is logged and posted publicly.

Welcome to the group. Let's eat. 🤙