FOMC meetings are scheduled in advance. The economic data that determines the likely outcome is publicly available. Yet most traders approach FOMC day without preparation reacting to price rather than interpreting the event. This guide is built around the structured process professional traders use to prepare: reading the macro backdrop, assessing what is already priced in, and understanding which elements of the meeting have the most potential to surprise.
A structured guide to the FOMC meeting cycle, covering the pre-meeting macro assessment, the announcement and press conference interpretation, and how to approach one of the highest-impact events in the global macro calendar.
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WHAT THIS GUIDE COVERS
🢆 Why currency markets can rally on a rate hike and fall on a rate cut — and how to identify when a decision is already fully priced in
🢆 How to read the Fed dot plot and interpret committee member rate projections as a forward signal for policy direction
🢆 Which economic releases between FOMC meetings shift rate expectations — and how those shifts are reflected in currency pairs before the meeting
🢆 How forward guidance in the post-meeting press conference moves markets more than the headline rate number
🢆 How to build a pre-FOMC preparation process covering economic backdrop, market pricing, and positioning before the announcement
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