A 6-leg parlay at +1200 feels like a plan. It's not. It's six coin flips stacked on top of each other.

If each leg is 55% to hit, that parlay is about 2.8% to cash. You can be "right" on five games and still lose the ticket.

What actually compounds:

• One or two spots a day where the number is wrong

• Same unit size, every time

• Passing on the rest of the card

Most recreational NFL/NBA bettors don't have a research problem. They have a volume problem. They bet too many games because sitting out feels like leaving money on the table.

Sitting out is the edge.

That's how we run Lock Lab. No 12-leg tickets. No 8-pick slates. Just the locks we'd actually bet.