“Insiders sell for many reasons — but they only buy for one: they think the stock is going up.” — Peter Thiel

The results (read carefully)
These are backtest numbers, not real-money results. Trading (especially with AI) carries real risk. This isn’t a get-rich-quick promise — you can lose your invested capital.

Interpretation: The 18-year test shows +23%/year, slightly inflated. Delisted stocks vanish from SEC Form-4 filings, so the worst losers aren’t represented. Hard to quantify, but a generous estimate is -4%/yr.

How I prevented backtest bias:
• Identical algorithm + data on the trained and live bot
• No future price data until after each decision
• Separate timelines (train 2008–2024, test 2024–2026)
• Monte Carlo simulation to rule out luck
• Accounts for slippage and drawdown

How it works:
• Scan new SEC insider-buy filings every few minutes
• Filter by historical winners
• Buy with a 5% stop-loss + 20% target (4:1, adjustable)
• Protect — sell at 180 days, move to cash when the bull trend breaks, kill-switch on max loss

What you need:
• Windows 10/11 PC
• Free Alpaca or Robinhood account (your own keys)
• ~$4,500 to break even on membership

Five adjustable risk profiles: Safe, Smooth, Standard, Balanced, Max CAGR

Questions? MarginInsider@gmail.com