The bond market is the first thing any private investor must truly understand because ultimately, it controls everything else. Right now, it's sending a clear message: nothing serious yet, no collapse on the horizon, but pay attention. Stay vigilant.
US intervention on the yen was the moment that made me reconsider and liquidate many of my positions. The other scenario, Japan selling US Treasuries, would have been far more consequential, and it was very much on the table.






