Ironworth Trading

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Ceducation is the founder and leader of Ironworth Trading. With the Ironworth Team, he brings over 15 years of investing and trading experie...
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CeducationProfile picture@ironworthtrading·Aug 7

Wtf just happened (Friday, Aug 7, 2026):

The July jobs report came in negative fam.... the economy lost 23,000 jobs when Wall Street expected growth. Normally that's bad news. Today it wasn't. Stocks rose after investors digested the surprise decline in job growth and its implications for Fed policy, with the S&P 500 up 0.6% and the Nasdaq climbing 1.2%. The S&P has now closed above 7,700 for the first time ever this week and is up more than 3% for the week, with the Nasdaq on pace for its best week since April on a chip-stock rebound. Bond yields fell as traders bet the Fed won't be forced to hike rates anytime soon, and money markets still see a possible hike but not before December.

That's the "bad news is good news" mechanic your community needs to actually understand, not just watch happen. Here's your forum post:

ikyfl "BAD NEWS" JUST MADE THE MARKET GO UP

allow me to explain why that's not a contradiction

Today the jobs report came out ugly. The U.S. economy lost 23,000 jobs in July when analysts expected it to add jobs. If you don't know the game, your gut says "bad economy = sell." The market did the opposite. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both climbed, with the S&P closing near record highs.

Here's the mechanic, in plain terms: the stock market isn't voting on how the economy feels right now. It's voting on what the Federal Reserve does next. Think of the Fed like the thermostat for the whole economy — when it's too hot, they raise rates to cool things down; when it's cooling off on its own, they don't need to touch it. A weak jobs report tells the Fed "the economy is already cooling, you don't need to raise rates." No rate hike means borrowing stays cheap, which means companies can keep growing, which means investors get more comfortable holding stocks. That's why weak data can pump green candles.

This is the exact reason "just watch the news and react" is not a strategy ..it's lowkey gambling but with extra steps. The headline says "jobs report bad." An amateur brain says sell. The market says buy. If you're trading off headlines instead of understanding what the headline means for Fed policy, you are always going to be one step behind the people who do understand it.

So look at it this way: Data doesn't move markets. Interpretation of data moves markets. Learn to ask "what does this mean for rates" before you ask "is this good or bad," and you'll stop getting faked out by red headlines on green days.

Stop reacting. Start interpreting.

— Coach Price, Ironworth Trading

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CeducationProfile picture@ironworthtrading·Aug 5
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Both $CRSP and $APLD are at low prices, and an upward trend is slowly forming, presenting a good buying opportunity. You can complete the transaction at the market price. I will go live tonight and talk about it.

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DK305007@dk305007·Aug 5

Both $CRSP and $APLD are testing a strong level of resistance within the next couple of days. A strong break and testing of these levels as support make for an excellent entry point for a trade.


Analyst price targets for CRSP average around $85.65.


Analyst price targets for APLD average around $72-$74.

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CeducationProfile picture@ironworthtrading·Jul 28

3 Risk Management Mistakes That Wreck New Traders

3 Risk Management Mistakes That Wreck New Traders (and how to fix them)


I've reviewed hundreds of trades from students and community members over the past few years, and the same three mistakes show up over and over:


1. Position sizing based on conviction, not risk.

"I was really confident" is not a position sizing strategy. Every trade should risk a fixed, small percentage of your account (1-2%) — no exceptions, no matter how good the setup looks.


2. No predefined invalidation level.

If you don't know the exact price where your idea is wrong BEFORE you enter, you'll hold losers too long hoping they turn around. Define your stop before you click buy, not after you're down 8%.


3. Revenge trading after a loss.

The single fastest way to blow up an account. One loss should never dictate your next 3 trades. Step away, review the trade objectively, then re-enter with a clear head.


Fixing just these three things will do more for your results than any indicator or "secret strategy" ever will.


---


If you want to work on this stuff directly with me — live, in a small group, with real trade reviews on your own setups — I just opened a 12-Week Trading Mentorship. It's hands-on: live classes, live trading sessions, a private community with my custom indicators, recorded lessons, weekly Q&A, and direct access to me every week.


It's $1,500 for the full 12 weeks, and it's 50% off this week only with code MENTOR50.


👉

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CeducationProfile picture@ironworthtrading·Jul 20

Why the Opening Range Breakout is one of the highest win-rate setups in trading

The Opening Range Breakout (ORB) is one of the most consistent intraday setups out there — and it's not magic, it's math. The first 5-30 minutes of the session set a "range" that reflects overnight positioning, gap fills, and where liquidity is sitting. When price breaks that range with volume, you get a statistically repeatable edge because you're trading WITH the institutions who are just now getting positioned, not against them.


The reason most traders mess this up isn't the concept — it's execution:

  • They mark the range wrong (using wicks vs bodies inconsistently)

  • They enter too early, before real confirmation

  • They don't have a stop-placement rule, so one bad trade wipes out 5 good ones

  • They don't know how to blend ORB with other confluence (trend, VWAP, key levels) to filter out low-quality breakouts


That's exactly what we're covering live July 22-24. Three live classes walking through how to find the opening range high/low, draw your zones, time entries and exits, place stops that actually make sense, and combine ORB with other strategies you already use.


If you've got questions before then, DM me on X. Spots are going fast.

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CeducationProfile picture@ironworthtrading·Jul 3

MY WHOP JOURNEY PEAKED AND PLATEAUED 😭

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Den@onlyden·Jul 10

How to join your discord?

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CeducationProfile picture@ironworthtrading·Jun 17

🌍 What Happens During War? Who Really Benefits?


Most people think war is simply about countries fighting. While that’s true on the surface, there is also an economic side that many investors pay attention to.


Before I continue, this is not financial advice. This is simply an educational discussion about how money tends to flow during periods of geopolitical conflict and military buildup.


The Reality


When conflicts break out, governments often increase spending in several key areas:


✅ Defense and military equipment


✅ Cybersecurity


✅ Intelligence and surveillance


✅ Space technology


✅ Energy production


✅ Critical infrastructure


As a result, companies operating in these sectors may experience increased demand for their products and services.


Defense Companies


Some of the largest defense contractors in the United States include:


• Lockheed Martin (LMT)


• RTX (RTX)


• Northrop Grumman (NOC)


• General Dynamics (GD)


• L3Harris Technologies (LHX)


These companies manufacture aircraft, missile systems, radar technology, communications equipment, and other military hardware.


The Rise of Drones


Modern warfare is increasingly relying on drones and autonomous systems.


Companies gaining attention include:


• AeroVironment (AVAV)


• Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS)


Many military experts believe drones will continue to play a larger role in future conflicts.


Artificial Intelligence & Data


Military organizations now rely heavily on data analysis, predictive intelligence, and AI-powered decision making.


A company frequently discussed in this space is:


• Palantir Technologies (PLTR)


Palantir provides software platforms that help governments and organizations analyze massive amounts of information.


Space Is Becoming Strategic


Space is no longer just about exploration.


Governments are investing in:


• Satellite communications


• Missile detection


• Intelligence gathering


• National security systems


Companies often mentioned include:


• Rocket Lab USA (RKLB)


• Intuitive Machines (LUNR)


Cybersecurity Matters


Wars are no longer fought only with tanks and missiles.


Many attacks occur digitally.


Cybersecurity companies frequently discussed include:


• CrowdStrike (CRWD)


• Palo Alto Networks (PANW)


As cyber threats increase, demand for digital protection often rises.


Energy Still Powers Everything


No military operates without energy.


Major energy companies that investors watch include:


• Exxon Mobil (XOM)


• Chevron (CVX)


• ConocoPhillips (COP)


Energy prices can become extremely volatile during geopolitical conflicts.


My Watchlist


If I were building a watchlist around long-term defense, AI, cybersecurity, and space themes, I would personally study:


  1. PLTR

  2. RKLB

  3. AVAV

  4. KTOS

  5. RTX

  6. LMT

  7. NOC

  8. CRWD

  9. PANW

  10. NVDA


Again, this is not a recommendation to buy. Every investor should do their own research.


Final Thoughts


The unfortunate reality is that wars create winners and losers.


The biggest losers are often civilians, families, and communities affected by conflict.


However, from a market perspective, capital tends to flow toward defense, cybersecurity, energy, AI, intelligence, and space-related companies.


As investors, our job is not to predict politics. Our job is to understand where money is moving and why.


What stocks are on your watchlist if global military spending continues to increase over the next decade?


👇 Let’s discuss.

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CeducationProfile picture@ironworthtrading·Jun 12

A SpaceX IPO would mark the beginning of a new chapter for the space industry. Once SpaceX becomes publicly traded, it could increase interest in the entire sector and help investors better understand what space companies are really worth.


In the short term, excitement and hype could push many space-related stocks higher. However, over time, investors will start separating the strongest companies from the weaker ones.


The companies most likely to continue growing are the ones that can consistently win contracts, increase revenue, and prove they can turn their technology and services into profitable businesses. Ultimately, real business performance..not just excitement…will determine which companies succeed. 🚀📈

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CeducationProfile picture@ironworthtrading·Jun 10

So, has the S&P 500 bottomed out?


I currently believe it's close to the bottom, but there's still a possibility of further short-term declines before a new upward wave begins.


However, this is actually the most common pattern in a healthy bull market. The market always needs to instill fear in retail investors; only after leverage is cleared out will the market turn around.


We currently need to closely monitor the performance of AI-related sectors, and also pay attention to the market's breadth in the next few days:


• 50-day moving average (50MA) rises back above 60%


• 200-day moving average (200MA) remains above 50%


That would be a very strong medium-term confirmation signal.

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CeducationProfile picture@ironworthtrading·Jun 10

Which leading stocks refused to fall during this correction and were the first to reach new highs?


Because truly great stocks often bottom out earlier than the S&P 500. This is also the signal I believe is most worth tracking going forward. A week ago, I told everyone that the most crucial time point recently was June 12th; the period from June 12th to early July could be the next upward phase for the US stock market.

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CeducationProfile picture@ironworthtrading·Jun 5

I'M READY TO ADD ANOTHER STORE ON WHOP! I LOVE HOW I'M ABLE TO HELP SO MANY PEOPLE AND MAKE A LIVING DOING SO!