The Rise Community

HIGH IMPACT NEWS THIS WEEK

Morning everyone 🤍

This week is not as wild as an NFP/CPI week, but do not make the mistake of thinking that means the market will be “easy”.

There are still some really important events that can move GBP/USD, USD pairs, CAD pairs, NZD pairs, gold, oil and indices.

The main theme this week is central banks + USD direction.

After the recent weaker US jobs data, the market is now watching the Fed closely to see whether they are still likely to raise rates, pause, or become more cautious. That means any Fed-related news this week could cause sharp moves in the dollar.

Please remember:
news does not mean you need to trade.
Sometimes the best trade is sitting on your hands, waiting for the chaos to calm down, and letting price show you where it actually wants to go.

MONDAY 6 JULY

2:45pm UK — USD Final Services PMI
This shows how the services side of the US economy is performing.

Services are things like finance, restaurants, transport, healthcare, retail and business activity. A strong number can be good for USD because it suggests the economy is still holding up. A weak number can be bad for USD because it suggests the economy is slowing.

3:00pm UK — USD ISM Services PMI
This is the bigger one to watch today.

The ISM Services PMI is one of the main reports traders use to judge the strength of the US economy outside of manufacturing.

Simple version:
If the number is strong, USD can strengthen because the market may think the Fed has more reason to stay strict.
If the number is weak, USD can weaken because the market may think the economy is slowing.

For GBP/USD traders, this can cause volatility around 3pm, so be very careful taking entries right before it.

4:00pm UK — Fed Member Waller Speaks
Any time a Fed member speaks, the market listens for clues about interest rates.

The key words traders will be watching for are things around inflation, employment, rate hikes, rate cuts, or whether the Fed is “patient”.

Do not overcomplicate it:
Fed sounds strict = usually stronger USD.
Fed sounds cautious/soft = usually weaker USD.

TUESDAY 7 JULY

10:30am UK — Bank of England Financial Stability Report + FPC Statement/Minutes
This is important for GBP.

This is not a normal interest rate decision, but it still matters because it gives insight into how the Bank of England views risks in the UK financial system.

They may talk about banks, lending, debt, household pressure, the economy, and financial risks.

Simple version:
If the report sounds confident, GBP may hold stronger.
If it sounds concerned about risks building in the economy, GBP can become more sensitive.

11:30am UK — Bank of England Governor Bailey Speaks
This is the bigger GBP risk on Tuesday.

Bailey speaking can move GBP because traders are always looking for clues on what the Bank of England may do next with interest rates.

Watch for comments around:
inflation, wage growth, the UK economy, financial stability, and rate expectations.

For GBP/USD traders, Tuesday late morning is a potential volatility window.

1:30pm UK — USD Trade Balance / CAD Trade Balance
Trade balance shows the difference between what a country exports and imports.

This is usually not as aggressive as CPI or NFP, but it can still move USD and CAD if the number surprises.

3:00pm UK — CAD Ivey PMI
This can move CAD pairs.

A higher PMI means stronger business activity. A weaker PMI means business activity may be slowing.

This matters most for anyone trading CAD pairs or oil-related setups.

WEDNESDAY 8 JULY

3:00am UK — RBNZ Official Cash Rate Decision
This is high impact for NZD pairs.

The RBNZ is New Zealand’s central bank, and the Official Cash Rate is their main interest rate.

Simple version:
If they raise rates or sound strict, NZD can strengthen.
If they hold rates but sound worried, NZD can weaken.
If they surprise the market, NZD pairs can move fast.

Most of us may not be trading NZD at that time, but still be aware because it can affect risk sentiment into the London session.

4:00am UK — RBNZ Press Conference
This is where the real volatility can continue.

Sometimes the rate decision itself is not the biggest mover — it is what they say afterwards.

The market will be listening for whether they are worried about inflation, growth, employment, or future rate hikes.

3:30pm UK — Crude Oil Inventories
This matters for oil and can also affect CAD.

Crude oil inventories show how much oil is being stored. If inventories are higher than expected, it can suggest weaker demand or too much supply, which can weigh on oil. If inventories are lower than expected, it can support oil because supply may be tighter.

This can create movement on oil and sometimes CAD pairs because Canada is heavily linked to oil.

7:00pm UK — FOMC Meeting Minutes
This is probably the biggest USD event of the week.

The FOMC minutes are detailed notes from the last Federal Reserve meeting.

This is not a new rate decision, but it shows what the Fed discussed behind the scenes.

The market will be looking for clues on:
whether the Fed is more worried about inflation, whether they are worried about the labour market, and whether they are leaning towards more rate hikes or becoming more cautious.

Simple version:
If the minutes sound strict/hawkish = USD can strengthen.
If the minutes sound softer/dovish = USD can weaken.

For anyone trading GBP/USD, EUR/USD, gold, indices or anything heavily USD-linked, be careful around 7pm. Spreads and candles can get messy, and price can fake out both directions before choosing the real move.

THURSDAY 9 JULY

2:30am UK — China CPI + PPI
This is inflation data from China.

CPI measures consumer inflation. PPI measures producer/business inflation.

This can affect overall market sentiment, commodities, AUD/NZD, and sometimes indices.

Simple version:
Strong inflation or stronger-than-expected data can impact risk sentiment.
Weak data can make traders worry about demand and global growth.

12:30pm UK — ECB Monetary Policy Meeting Accounts
This is the European Central Bank version of meeting notes.

It matters mainly for EUR pairs, but it can still influence overall market sentiment.

The market will be looking for clues about whether the ECB is worried about inflation, growth, or future rate moves.

1:30pm UK — US Unemployment Claims
This shows how many people filed for unemployment benefits.

It gives the market a weekly snapshot of the US labour market.

Simple version:
Higher claims = more people losing work = potentially weaker USD.
Lower claims = labour market still strong = potentially stronger USD.

This matters more this week because the recent US jobs data was weaker, so traders are watching labour market data closely.

2:00pm UK — Fed Member Williams Speaks
Another Fed speaker.

Again, the market will be listening for anything around inflation, rates, employment and whether the Fed should stay strict or become more cautious.

3:00pm UK — US Existing Home Sales
This shows how many previously owned homes were sold.

Housing is important because it gives clues about the wider economy, borrowing conditions and consumer confidence.

Usually not as explosive as CPI/NFP, but it can still add volatility if the number is far from expectations.

FRIDAY 10 JULY

All day — ECOFIN Meetings
This is a meeting of EU finance ministers.

It is not usually a clean “one candle” news event, but comments can come out during the day and affect EUR sentiment.

1:30pm UK — CAD Employment Change + CAD Unemployment Rate
This is the biggest CAD event of the week.

Employment Change shows how many jobs Canada added or lost.
Unemployment Rate shows the percentage of people looking for work but not currently employed.

Simple version:
Strong jobs + lower unemployment = usually good for CAD.
Weak jobs + higher unemployment = usually bad for CAD.

Be careful on CAD pairs around 1:30pm because this can move fast.

Tentative — US Fed Monetary Policy Report
This can matter for USD if it gives the market new clues about the Fed’s view on inflation, growth, employment or interest rates.

Because it is tentative, do not assume the exact timing. Just be aware that USD may stay sensitive going into the end of the week.

MY TRADING REMINDER FOR THIS WEEK

Do not trade just because there is movement.

News weeks expose impatient traders because price can look like it is breaking out, then completely reverse once the real liquidity comes in.

Before taking a trade, ask yourself:

1. Is there high impact news within the next 15–30 minutes?

2. Has price already swept liquidity?

3. Am I trading my setup, or am I reacting to a candle?

4. Is this trade actually clean, or am I forcing it because I want to be involved?

5. Does this trade reflect the identity of the trader I’m becoming?

This week, the main focus is:
USD strength/weakness, Fed language, GBP reaction to Bailey/BOE, CAD jobs, and NZD rate decision.

Trade the setup.
Respect the news.
Protect the account.
No gambling just because the calendar is busy.

MORNING ANALYSIS

Pairs covered:

GBPUSD

EURUSD

USDCAD

USDJPY

XAUUSD

https://us06web.zoom.us/j/83801571474?pwd=1g1UQOtHOGBUbO1GRAC7aK2a5ODzXn.1

Beautiful angels , I have uploaded some motivation content for you all to help you on your trading journey.

How to find it :

Require your mind > Motivation

I will be uploading whenever my soul feels called to motivate you all.

I hope it helps 🩵

I’ve wrote down some affirmations for you all to speak today.

1. I don’t need to force trades to make progress. My job is to wait for quality opportunities and execute them well.

2. One trade does not define me. I judge my success by how well I follow my plan, not by the outcome of a single position.

3. I am comfortable missing moves. There will always be another opportunity, and patience protects my capital.

4. I trust my process more than my emotions. When fear, frustration, or excitement show up, I return to my rules.

5. My edge plays out over time. I don’t need to win today I need to stay disciplined long enough for my consistency to compound.

Have a good trading day everyone. Stay patient, stay focused, and remember that protecting your mindset is just as important as protecting your account.

Morning breakdown 3/6/26