Same trades. Different drawdown.
The same trades can produce different drawdowns.
Hypothetical fixed-dollar example: +200, −100, +200, −100 finishes at +$200 with a maximum closed-trade drawdown of $100. Reorder it to −100, −100, +200, +200 and it still finishes at +$200, but the maximum decline from a running peak, including starting equity, is $200.
Roboquant’s Monte Carlo view uses random reshuffles of the historical trade sequence to explore alternative paths. This examines sequence risk; it does not invent new market regimes or guarantee a maximum loss. Random shuffling can also remove real dependencies between trades.
Use the analysis alongside trade-sample quality, cost assumptions and sizing. Availability varies by plan. https://roboquant.dev
Discussion: Do you review the possible path of losses as well as total profit?
