Week 3 college hits Friday night. No. 5 in Winston-Salem, ranked Big 12 in Lubbock. NFL waits until Sunday. Five plays.

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1. Wake Forest +20.5 vs Miami

7:30 PM ET · ESPN · Allegacy Stadium

No. 5 Hurricanes have scored 122 points in two games. Darian Mensah is 8 TD, 0 INT, 91% completions. That is real. Covering three scores on the road in ACC play is a different ask. Wake is 2–0, needed double overtime to beat Purdue, and still put up 38. Opened 23.5. Now 20.5. Take the points. Playable to +19.

Confidence: High

2. Houston +7.5 at Texas Tech

8:00 PM ET · FOX · Galaxy Stadium

Opened north of 12. Now 7.5. Both 2–0. Both just played Oregon State. Houston won 33–20 at home with 533 yards. Texas Tech needed two fourth-quarter scores to escape Corvallis 35–24 and is 0–2 ATS. First ranked-vs-ranked meeting since 1989. A touchdown in Lubbock on a number that just crashed is the spot. Playable to +7.

Confidence: Medium-High

3. Guardians ML vs Athletics

7:10 PM ET · Progressive Field

Cleveland is 78–75 and still in a wild-card fight. Oakland is 61–91. Models sit around 63% on the home side. Day-to-night baseball against a last-place club. Don’t overthink it.

Confidence: Medium-High

4. Dodgers −1.5 vs Giants

10:10 PM ET · Dodger Stadium

Tyler Glasnow (4–1, 3.50 ERA, 0.97 WHIP) at home against a 62–89 club. The moneyline will be juice. You are not getting paid to fade San Francisco. Take the run line. Playable to −1.5 (−140).

Confidence: Medium

5. Blue Jays ML at Rangers

8:05 PM ET · Globe Life Field

Dylan Cease (11–5, 2.38 ERA, 236 K) is the best arm on this card. Toronto and Texas are both .500 clubs. The starter is not. Lean the road ace.

Confidence: Medium

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Card recap

Wake Forest +20.5 · Houston +7.5 · Guardians ML · Dodgers −1.5 · Blue Jays ML

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21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. This is opinion, not a guarantee. Bet what you can afford to lose. Lines move. Confirm before you fire.

Thursday Night Football at the new Highmark. One ACC game. Short MLB card. Five plays.

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1. Lions / Bills Over 53.5

8:15 PM ET · Prime Video · Highmark Stadium

Both clubs just cleared 60 combined. Detroit 31–30 in overtime. Buffalo 36–31 in Houston. Lions secondary is last in pass yards allowed and is still without Kerby Joseph and Brian Branch. Josh Allen just threw for 334 and two scores against a defense that was supposed to be elite. Highest total on the Week 2 board for a reason. Playable to 54.5.

Confidence: High

2. Lions +4.5 at Bills

Same game

Opened at 3. Now 4.5. Two 1–0 Super Bowl clubs on a short week. Buffalo is the better side. Covering a field goal plus in a new building against Dan Campbell is a different ask. Take the points. Playable to +4.

Confidence: Medium-High

3. Syracuse +10.5 at Pittsburgh

7:30 PM ET · ESPN · Acrisure Stadium

Pitt needed a 12–7 slog against UCF to stay unbeaten. Syracuse outgained Cal by nearly 200 yards and still lost 21–18 on three picks and 14 penalties. Double-digit number on a Thursday night, short week, ACC opener for the Panthers. The Orange keep this inside a score. Playable to +10.

Confidence: High

4. Brewers −1.5 at Pirates

12:35 PM ET · PNC Park

Milwaukee is 95–57 and already took the first two of this series. Kyle Harrison (10–4, 3.98) against Wilber Dotel (1–5, 4.84). The moneyline is juice. The run line is plus money. Best record in the National League, sweep spot, day baseball. Playable to −1.5 (+110).

Confidence: Medium-High

5. Padres / Rockies Over 10.5

3:10 PM ET · Coors Field

It's Coors. The total is 10.5. San Diego models around 64% in this park. Lean the runs.

Confidence: Medium

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Card recap

Lions/Bills Over 53.5 · Lions +4.5 · Syracuse +10.5 · Brewers −1.5 · Padres/Rockies Over 10.5

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21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. This is opinion, not a guarantee. Bet what you can afford to lose. Lines move. Confirm before you fire.

NFL waits until Thursday Night. College waits until Friday. Fifteen-game MLB card, Europa League in the afternoon. Five plays.

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1. Dodgers −1.5 at Reds

6:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park

Blake Snell (4–1, 1.91 ERA) has allowed one run or fewer in each of his last six starts. Andrew Abbott (6–11, 4.78 ERA) has given up 16 runs and 20 hits over his last nine innings. Los Angeles is 92–59 and has outscored Cincinnati 8–1 in the first two games of this series. Close it out. Playable to −1.5 (−135).

Confidence: High

2. Yankees ML at Twins

1:40 PM ET · Target Field

Carlos Rodón (6–3, 2.94 ERA) against Zebby Matthews (9–10, 4.98 ERA). New York is 87–63 and still in a race. Minnesota is 70–80. Better club, better arm, around −148. Lean the favorite. Playable to −155.

Confidence: Medium-High

3. Giants / Cardinals Over 8

1:15 PM ET · Busch Stadium

Matthew Liberatore (5–14, 5.53 ERA) has a 7.27 ERA over his last seven starts. Anthony Molina (5.24 ERA) just allowed seven runs in three innings. Both bullpens have been below average since July. Two bad starters, a total sitting on 8. Lean the over. Playable to −120.

Confidence: Medium-High

4. Cubs ML vs Braves

7:40 PM ET · Wrigley Field

Shota Imanaga against JR Ritchie. Ritchie walks 5.6 per nine and owns a 5.41 FIP. Chicago leads the league in scoring at 5.3 runs a game. Atlanta has been quiet on the road since August. Home favorite around −140. Lean the Cubs.

Confidence: Medium

5. Leverkusen −1.5 vs Celje

3:00 PM ET · Europa League · BayArena

German side at home against a first-time visitor at this level. Talent gap is the whole handicap. A goal and a half is the number.

Confidence: Medium

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Card recap

Dodgers −1.5 · Yankees ML · Giants/Cardinals Over 8 · Cubs ML · Leverkusen −1.5

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21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. This is opinion, not a guarantee. Bet what you can afford to lose. Lines move. Confirm before you fire.

NFL is dark. College waits until Friday. Fifteen-game MLB card. Five plays.

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1. Dodgers −1.5 at Reds

6:40 PM ET · Great American Ball Park

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (13–8, 2.62 ERA, 0.88 WHIP) just carved this lineup six days ago: seven innings, one run, 10 punchouts. Same opponent tonight. Rhett Lowder got wrecked in that start, seven runs in 3.1, and has allowed 13 earned in 13.1 this month. Los Angeles is 91–59. Cincinnati is 70–80 and has lost four straight to the Dodgers. Two-run favorite on the road is live. Playable to −1.5 (−140).

Confidence: High

2. Phillies −1.5 at Nationals

6:45 PM ET · Nationals Park

Cristopher Sánchez (17–5, 2.79 ERA, 210 K) against Jackson Kent (1–4, 6.59 ERA, 1.83 WHIP). Philadelphia is 83–67 and chasing Atlanta. Washington is 70–81. Season series already leans Philly. A run and a half on the road is the number. Playable to −1.5 (−126).

Confidence: High

3. Rays −1.5 vs Athletics

6:40 PM ET · Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay is 90–59 and 50–25 at home, four up in the AL East. Griffin Jax has allowed one earned in four of his last five. Jack Perkins is 3–11 with a 6.53 ERA. A's hitters are 1-for-11 lifetime against Jax. Home favorite, bad opponent, bad starter. Playable around even money on the run line.

Confidence: Medium-High

4. Brewers −1.5 at Pirates

6:40 PM ET · PNC Park

Jacob Misiorowski (14–5, 1.95 ERA, 0.80 WHIP) against a Pittsburgh bullpen game. Milwaukee is 93–57, best record in the National League, 5.2 runs a game. The moneyline is juice. The run line is the vehicle. Playable to −1.5 (−140).

Confidence: Medium-High

5. Yankees / Twins Under 8

7:40 PM ET · Target Field

Max Fried against Bailey Ober. Two starters who miss bats, a total sitting on 8. Lean the under. Playable to 8 (−118).

Confidence: Medium

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Card recap

Dodgers −1.5 · Phillies −1.5 · Rays −1.5 · Brewers −1.5 · Yankees/Twins Under 8

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21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. This is opinion, not a guarantee. Bet what you can afford to lose. Lines move. Confirm before you fire.

Week 1 wraps on Monday Night. Broncos at Arrowhead, then a 10-game MLB card. Five plays.

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1. Broncos +2.5 at Chiefs

8:15 PM ET · ESPN/ABC · Arrowhead Stadium

Mahomes is back from the knee. His left tackle is not. Denver allowed 18.3 points a game last year (3rd) and led the league with 68 sacks. The Broncos were 5-0-1 ATS as dogs last season and have covered six of eight against Kansas City since 2022. A field goal at Arrowhead is the number. Playable to +3.

Confidence: High

2. Broncos / Chiefs Under 43.5

8:15 PM ET · ESPN/ABC · Arrowhead Stadium

Two top-six scoring defenses last year. Models land around 40. Kansas City went under in 13 of 17 last season and has gone under in 15 of 18 division games over three years. Neither quarterback is fully himself in Week 1. Lean the total.

Confidence: Medium-High

3. Tigers ML at Blue Jays

7:07 PM ET · Rogers Centre

Troy Melton (2.42 ERA, 1.05 WHIP) against Jose Soriano (3.48 ERA). Detroit has the better arm and the better offense by runs, OBP, and OPS. Plus money on the road. Playable to +115.

Confidence: Medium-High

4. Cubs ML vs Braves

7:40 PM ET · MLB Network · Wrigley Field

Chicago is a home favorite around −134. Projection models give the Cubs close to 65%. Atlanta is 88-62 and real, but Wrigley in September with the Cubs as a short favorite is the side.

Confidence: Medium

5. Yankees ML at Twins

7:40 PM ET · Target Field

Will Warren (10-6, 4.05 ERA) against Dean Kremer (3-5, 5.65 ERA). Yankees are 86-63 and still in a race. Minnesota is 70-79. Better club, better matchup, around −138. Lean the favorite.

Confidence: Medium

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Card recap

Broncos +2.5 · Under 43.5 · Tigers ML · Cubs ML · Yankees ML

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21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. This is opinion, not a guarantee. Bet what you can afford to lose. Lines move. Confirm before you fire.

NFL Week 1 hits a full Sunday. Thirteen games, SNF in the Meadowlands. Baseball all afternoon. Six plays.

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1. Lions −7 vs Saints

1:00 PM ET · FOX · Ford Field

Detroit’s offense was fifth in scoring last year. Jahmyr Gibbs just got paid after 3,768 yards and 38 scores in two seasons. New Orleans gave up 120.6 rush yards a game. This scripts as a double-digit Lions win. A touchdown is the number. Playable to −7.5.

Confidence: High

2. Eagles −5.5 vs Commanders

4:25 PM ET · FOX · Lincoln Financial Field

Philadelphia has won eight of Jalen Hurts’ last nine against Washington, seven of the last ten overall, and three of the last four at home in this series. Washington ranked last in yards allowed last year and turned over a chunk of that defense. Home opener, NFC East. Field goal plus a score. Playable to −6.

Confidence: Medium-High

3. Packers / Vikings Under 45.5

4:25 PM ET · CBS · U.S. Bank Stadium

NFC North, 1.5-point game, indoor. Both clubs can play keep-away. Projection models have the under in nearly 60% of sims. Neither side needs to empty the playbook in Week 1. Lean the total.

Confidence: Medium-High

4. Jaguars −8.5 vs Browns

1:00 PM ET · CBS · EverBank Stadium

Jacksonville was 12–5 ATS last year and covered in 78% of home games. Cleveland was 2–6 ATS on the road. Browns are a rebuild. Jags are a home favorite in the 8–9 range for a reason. Two scores at home in Week 1 is live. Playable to −9.5.

Confidence: Medium

5. Bills −1.5 at Texans

1:00 PM ET · CBS · NRG Stadium

Pick’em with a point and a half on Buffalo. Houston is real at home, but Josh Allen in a season opener is still the side. One-possession game. Take the favorite.

Confidence: Medium

6. Yankees ML vs Mets

1:35 PM ET · Yankee Stadium

Cam Schlittler (13–6, 2.01 ERA) against Christian Scott (4–4, 3.81 ERA). Yankees are 85–63 and chasing Tampa Bay. Mets are 69–79. Subway Series, better club, better arm, around −180. Lean the home favorite.

Confidence: Medium

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Card recap

Lions −7 · Eagles −5.5 · Packers/Vikings Under 45.5 · Jaguars −8.5 · Bills −1.5 · Yankees ML

Vote the play you like most. Drop your card in the comments.

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21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. This is opinion, not a guarantee. Bet what you can afford to lose. Lines move — confirm before you fire.