
Polymarket is a $9 billion prediction market backed by the parent company of the
New York Stock Exchange. Users trade on real-world outcomes: elections, Fed decisions,
crypto prices, corporate events.
Two ways to make money:
Arbitrage — Every 5 minutes, Polymarket opens a BTC up/down market. When the combined
ask price drops below $1.00, you buy both sides and pocket the difference. Risk-free. This
guide explains exactly how to find and execute these trades with a step-by-step
walkthrough.
Information edge — The average Polymarket trader is a crypto native trading on vibes. If you
understand Fed policy, regulatory patterns, economic data, or political dynamics, you have a
genuine analytical advantage. This guide shows you how to identify mispriced markets and
size positions with concrete examples across 5 market categories.