What You Get Every Week

Each Monday you receive your full First-Inning Run Model deliverables pack — everything you need to bet the first inning with a genuine statistical edge:

• Starting Pitcher Split Sheets — deep splits by park, handedness, temperature, and rest days

• First-Inning Run Probability Model — game-by-game run expectancy scores for every slate

• Sharp Side Designations — clear buy/fade tags on each matchup based on model output

• Weekly Recap & Calibration Notes — post-week model performance review and adjustments

• Bonus: Mid-Week Value Alerts — push notifications when a mid-slate edge meets threshold

Who This Is For

Built for serious sports bettors and DFS players who want to beat the first-inning market with repeatable process — not guesswork. You understand pitcher splits, lineup construction, and line movement. You're ready to use a model, not just a pick.

The Model Edge

The first inning is the most inefficient segment of an MLB game. Books price it on aggregate data. We price it on pitcher-specific splits vs. opposing lineup handedness — a materially different signal that generates consistent +EV at scale.

This is not a picks service. This is a coaching and methodology program where you learn to use the model, understand the inputs, and build your own edge over time.

Pricing

$195/week — cancel anytime. Includes a 1-day free trial so you can evaluate the model before committing.