@kolojp·Jun 18Over the last 5 sessions, AMZN, EURUSD and SP500 stayed in elevated risk states before short-term pullbacks became clear.
This is exactly where Bubble Score Daily is designed to help:
not to predict every top,
not to call every crash,
but to show when conditions are no longer calm — and when chasing late moves becomes harder to justify.
The value is not only in spotting big crashes.
It’s in knowing when not to chase.
@kolojp·Jun 12Most market posts focus on one chart.
Bubble Score Daily looks at something different:
where market pressure may be building across multiple assets at the same time.
This weekly recap compares BTC, AMZN, EUR/USD, Gold, and S&P 500 in one risk board.
Simple idea:
Bubble Score acts like a pressure gauge for markets — when pressure stays elevated, it can warn that a market is becoming more fragile and more vulnerable to sharper drawdowns.
Higher score = more bubble-like pressure and a more fragile market structure.
This week, AMZN remained the clearest high-pressure signal, while EUR/USD and S&P 500 also stayed elevated. BTC and Gold were more moderate.
That contrast is the value.
It helps you see where risk is concentrated — and where it is not.
Full dashboards, CSV exports, history, and cross-asset risk context are inside Bubble Score Daily.
Want the full context behind this weekly risk board?
I explained the Bubble Score Daily concept, the LPPL model layer, and the practical 5-asset dashboard here:
The short version:
Bubble Score is a pressure gauge for market fragility — the article shows how I use it in practice.
@kolojp·Jun 11Daily tracking shows whether bubble pressure is fading, holding, or building day by day.
That matters because risk usually does not appear all at once.
It builds gradually — then the chart catches up.
Track the shift before it becomes obvious.
I published a public creator-pack where I explain more about the Bubble Score Daily concept, the model behind it, and how the dashboard can be used in practice:
It shows how I think about market fragility, bubble pressure, and the current 5-asset setup in a simple, practical way.
Risk layer, not signal.
@kolojp·Jun 10It is built on LPPL bubble modelling — not random chart opinions.
Instead of looking at one noisy chart, it aggregates many model fits into a cleaner risk layer.
The goal is simple:
map acceleration, build-up, and stress phases before the market move becomes obvious.
Math over noise.
I published a public creator-pack where I explain more about the Bubble Score Daily concept, the model behind it, and how the dashboard can be used in practice:
It shows how I think about market fragility, bubble pressure, and the current 5-asset setup in a simple, practical way.
Risk layer, not signal.
@kolojp·Jun 9It tracks whether short-term crash-risk signals are clustering around the 14-day window.
Low = calmer setup. Higher = warning zone.
This matters because sharp drawdowns often do not look obvious until the move is already happening.
Watch the warning zone early.
@kolojp·Jun 80–25: Calm 25–45: Moderate 45–70: Elevated 70–100: Extreme
The higher the score, the more overheating pressure the model detects.
One number gives a cleaner market context across BTC, AMZN, EUR/USD, Gold, and S&P 500.
@kolojp·Jun 7Sometimes price drops, but market fragility does not fully disappear.
That is why price alone is not enough.
Bubble Score Daily helps track whether hidden pressure is fading, holding, or still building underneath the chart.
See hidden pressure earlier.
I published a public creator-pack showing how the dashboard works in the current macro environment:
Risk layer, not signal.
@kolojp·Jun 6I published a public research note on how strong U.S. data can still pressure stocks - and how I use Bubble Score Daily as a 5-asset risk layer across AMZN, BTC, EUR/USD, Gold and S&P 500.
The goal is not to predict crashes or give buy/sell signals.
It is to track where market fragility and overheating pressure may already be building before the next macro trigger arrives.
Full article here:
Would be interested in feedback from anyone who follows macro, trading, or market-risk research.
The 5-asset graphic is a sample view from Bubble Score Daily. Full dashboards, daily updates and asset-level details are available inside the subscriber product on my Whop profile.
@kolojp·Jun 6Strong U.S. data can still be bearish for stocks.
Why?
Because if the economy looks too strong, markets may price in higher rates for longer.
That is why I track not only the macro headline, but also which assets were already structurally fragile before the trigger arrived.
Latest Bubble Score Daily map:
AMZN: 57 / Elevated
BTC: 31 / Moderate
EUR/USD: 52 / Elevated
Gold: 40 / Moderate
S&P 500: 48 / Elevated
The strongest current signal is AMZN.
Not a buy/sell signal.
Not a crash prediction.
A daily risk layer.
Full article here:
https://open.substack.com/pub/bubbleriskweekly/p/strong-data-weak-stocks-where-macro?r=8jkzyk&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web
Quick clarification:
This is not meant as a market call or a trading signal.
The goal is to show how a simple 5-asset risk layer can help separate normal volatility from situations where overheating pressure may already be building.
@kolojp·Jun 5A daily LPPL-based risk layer for 5 markets:
BTC, AMZN, EUR/USD, Gold, and S&P 500.
It does not just follow price.
It tracks bubble pressure, market fragility, and whether risk is building underneath the chart.
Think of it as a pressure gauge for markets.
Follow the pressure, not just the price.
