@thechartartist·2dBitcoin survived market turmoil, to reclaim back a support level that was not supposed to be lost.
Today I will share a few simple ways you can identify trap zones. These areas are typically where inexperienced traders take compromising positions that can only lead to loss long term.
@thechartartist·3dhttps://www.youtube.com/live/rApMJTy63r8?si=XKOtgR-UZvezUyeg
US midterm elections on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, are this week’s biggest market-impacting news
- Voters decide control of the entire House (all 435 seats) and 35 Senate seats, plus many governorships. - Republicans currently hold slim majorities and are defending them under President Trump. - The results will shape fiscal policy, taxes, regulation, __spending, and the ability to pass major legislation__ for the next two years. - Markets care about the outcome mainly because it reduces (or prolongs) policy uncertainty.
What history shows 🔗 https://discord.com/channels/901059269498118214/1513432003662446673/1566688910170398810
Midterm years are usually the weakest and most volatile of the four-year presidential cycle, with deeper average drawdowns. `The strong part of the pattern has historically been after the election.`
Trends show that post-election 12-month returns were positive:
What the market thinks matters more than the elections
Inflation and the Fed’s rate path.
The sustainability of the AI trade.
Corporate earnings, growth, and bond yields.
In short, markets are more focused on the interaction of sticky inflation → higher-for-longer rates → pressure on the AI-driven growth engine than on which party controls Congress next week.* More information: https://discord.com/channels/901059269498118214/1513432003662446673/1566691159697526858
What is making markets most uncomfortable right now?
AI spending and returns risk
Reaccelerating or sticky inflation
Elevated bond yields and the cost of capital
Election uncertainty as a secondary overlay
More information:
https://discord.com/channels/901059269498118214/1513432003662446673/1566692417422229575
@thechartartist·5dDropping the latest Market Tactics report.
Have a plan, or else you're just gambling.
@thechartartist·6d**__- Binance hacked (major confirmed incident).__**
Binance reported a security breach with an estimated ~$6.3 billion impact — potentially the largest crypto heist ever. Initial findings point to a **compromised engineer’s laptop** that allowed unauthorized withdrawals. **Roughly $3 billion has been frozen** so far (with help from Tether, Circle, and others). Binance says user **funds are safe**, it will cover all losses (via SAFU + company funds), and it **temporarily suspended deposits/withdrawals.** Some analysts attribute it to North Korean hackers (TraderTraitor). Crypto sold off on the news (BTC dipped toward the mid-to-high $70ks).
**__- KuCoin suffered the same fate__**
**||False / FUD.||** KuCoin officially stated it was not affected. User assets remain safe, systems are operating normally, and trading + withdrawals are fully available. They publicly pushed back against circulating rumors.
**__- Polymarket hacked__**
**A third-party provider (DebugBear) was compromised**, allowing a crypto-draining script to hit the international platform. Roughly $2.6 million in user funds was drained. __Polymarket paused trading briefly, fixed the issue, resumed operations__, referred it to law enforcement, and `said affected users will be made whole`. Side NOTE: https://discord.com/channels/901059269498118214/1565704523123654746/1565704523123654746
** Sir Patrick Stewart (Star Trek / X-Men).**
The actor (Captain Picard / Professor X) died at age 86 on October 28 after a short battle with Alzheimer’s and Lewy body dementia. Announced on the 29th.
https://www.youtube.com/live/sjfPG03o0Lc?si=uvc7DWV9LmAzPYBN @everyone
Wallet Security tips.
https://discord.com/channels/901059269498118214/1508155910009131149
@thechartartist·Oct 30@thechartartist·Jul 24100% win rate for the week - Final Bitcoin position (open) has stop moved in profit.
@thechartartist·Jun 23Oil at target
Im starting to hunt for a long back to $80
@thechartartist·Jun 2Fitch Ratings on Oil Prices – Latest View (as of June 2026) Fitch Ratings (a major global credit rating agency) does expect Brent crude oil to reach around $70 per barrel in August/September 2026.
Base Case Forecast: Fitch’s main 2026 average price assumption for Brent crude is $70 per barrel.
In their May 8, 2026 update, they specifically said:
Brent will stay high at $100–110/bbl during May–July 2026 (due to the ongoing disruption in the Strait of Hormuz from the Iran conflict).
Prices are then expected to fall to around $70/bbl by September, driven by returning supply and market oversupply.
This $70 level is seen as a more “normal” equilibrium price once the temporary geopolitical disruption eases and oversupply returns to the market.
Geopolitical Risk (Strait of Hormuz closure) has pushed prices higher in the short term.
Oversupply is the bigger long-term story — Fitch expects strong production growth (especially non-OPEC) to outweigh demand growth in the second half of 2026.
Their forecast assumes the Hormuz situation starts improving around July, leading to the price drop toward $70 by late summer.
Fitch currently sees $70 as a realistic target for Brent in August/September 2026 in their base-case scenario.
This is lower than current prices (which have been elevated due to Middle East tensions) but still supported by some geopolitical premium.
Fitch Ratings' View on China's Oil Reserves (as of June 2026) Fitch Ratings has highlighted China’s very large oil inventories as a key factor that helps cushion global oil supply shocks (especially the recent Strait of Hormuz disruptions).
In January 2026, China held approximately 1.2 billion barrels of crude oil stocks.
This represents about 15% of total global observed oil inventories (global total was 8.2 billion barrels).
Fitch noted that China’s reserves are large enough to cover its Hormuz-linked imports for over 8 months (until end-October 2026) if needed.
China’s massive stockpiles (both strategic and commercial) give it significant energy security.
This large buffer allows China to continue importing even during major supply disruptions without immediate panic buying.
Fitch sees these high inventories as one reason why the global oil market can absorb short-term shocks relatively well before prices spiral out of control.
Fitch views China as having one of the world’s largest oil reserve cushions. This makes China more resilient to supply disruptions than most other major importers. Their large stockpiles (around 1.2 billion barrels in early 2026) act as a major stabilizing force in the current geopolitical environment.
China vs US Strategic Oil Reserves Comparison (as of June 2026) Here's a clear, up-to-date comparison between China’s oil reserves and the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR):
| Country - Government Strategic Reserves - Total Inventories (incl. Commercial) & Notes
| China ~360 million barrels ~1.4 billion barrels Largest in the world
| United States ~365 – 409 million barrels ~800 – 825 million barrels SPR is the main government reserve
China has significantly larger total oil stocks — roughly 3x the size of the US SPR in terms of government + commercial combined reserves.
China’s total inventories (1.4 billion barrels) can cover its imports for 8+ months even if all imports through the Strait of Hormuz were cut off.
The US SPR (government-controlled) is currently around 365 million barrels (as of late May 2026), down due to recent releases. It has a maximum capacity of ~714 million barrels.
China has been aggressively building reserves for years (adding ~1.1 million barrels per day in 2025).
China has a massive energy security buffer, giving it resilience during geopolitical shocks (like the current Hormuz situation).
United States has a smaller but very high-quality, easily releasable reserve (the SPR is designed for fast emergency drawdowns).
China’s commercial inventories are also much larger than the US commercial stocks.
Bottom Line:
China currently holds the world’s largest oil stockpiles, giving it a major advantage in terms of energy security compared to the United States.
@thechartartist·May 28🚨 GDP DATA DROPPING IN <2 HOURS
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@thechartartist·May 26Going Live on YT to discuss the latest chart updates in the free members section.
YouTube: - CryptoEMC Don't miss this update
