🌦️ Weekly Market Weather
Regime: Cold Spring / Support Test Week
Market temperature: 21 out of 100
SPY close: 769.82
Weekly change: -2.22 points
Last week’s range: 13.86 points
Forecast range: Approximately 15.21 points
Full-range reference: Approximately 21.84 points
Primary bias: Neutral-to-constructive above support
Expansion probability: 50%
Mean-reversion or stall probability: 50%
Confidence: Medium
Primary risk: Weak Treasury demand restarts the rise in long-term yields
Best environment: Controlled pullbacks while SPY holds 758.17 and rates stabilize
Key levels
Resistance 1: 781.47
Resistance 2: 790.64
Support 1: 758.17
Support 2: 749.00