InsightInvest

Watchlist — APP / MRVL / CRDO

As of Sept 4, 2026

---

1️⃣ APP — AppLovin

Price: $314.03 | 50D avg: $396 | 200D avg: $487 | 52wk range: $297.50 – $745.61

Setup: Deep, prolonged downtrend trading 21% below its 50-day and 36% below its 200-day average, and sitting just $17 above the 52-week low. Been chopping in a $298-335 range since mid-August after a brutal slide from $600+ in June.

Key levels:

• Support: $298-305 (52wk low zone, tested Aug 24-25)

• Resistance: $335 (Aug 28 high), then $346-350 (Aug 7/10 highs)

Watch for: A close below $298 opens fresh 52-week lows with no real floor below. A reclaim of $335+ on volume would be the first sign of stabilization. Right now it's dead-cat-bouncing inside a falling range no trend reversal confirmed yet.

---

2️⃣ MRVL — Marvell

Price: $217.39 (+4.1% today) | 50D avg: $221.82 | 200D avg: $151.07 | 52wk range: $62.47 – $329.88

Setup: the $194-202 gap/support zone we flagged held. Sept 1 printed a low of $200.62, right in that zone, then reversed and has rallied 3 straight days back to $217.

Key levels:

• Support confirmed: $200-202 (gap fill + bounce point)

• Resistance: $221-222 (50-day avg, immediate overhead), then the unfilled $245-253 gap from Aug 27

Watch for: This is now the most "alive" setup of the three, a genuine bounce off support with rising volume (18-22M the last two sessions). A close above $222 (50D avg) would strengthen the case for a run at the $245-253 gap-fill. Failure back below $210 would put the bounce thesis in question.

---

3️⃣ CRDO — Credo Technology

Price: $170.00 (+4.9% today) | 50D avg: $232.16 | 200D avg: $175.22 | 52wk range: $86.49 – $308.67

Setup: Violent breakdown Sept 2 crashed -12.4% on 30.1M volume (vs typical 4-7M), gapping down from $240s to the $160s over 3 sessions. Currently trading almost exactly at its 200-day average ($175), a make-or-break trend level.

Key levels:

• Critical level: $175 (200-day MA — sitting right on it)

• Support below: $160-165 (today's low/recent floor)

• Resistance: $190 (Sept 2 gap-down open), then $206-220 (pre-crash consolidation zone)

Watch for: Today's bounce (+4.9%) is the first green session since the crash worth watching whether it holds above $175 (200D MA) or rolls back below it. A loss of $160 on volume would signal trend damage is not done; reclaiming $190+ would suggest the crash was a one-off shock rather than a structural break.

when your own members make more than you on the trade you know it's time to lock in. Both member trades

Swing Trading weekly recap

Strong week led by SPCX +30%, UBER +26%, NFLX +11%. AMAT loss offset part of the gains.

• Best performer: SPCX (+30% w/w)

• Worst performer: AMAT (closed for loss)

• Trades taken: Trimmed 20% of NFLX; closed AMAT options play.

weekly recap: https://www.leiholding.com/weekly-recap

Per-Position Review

1. SPCX -- $140.00 (+30% w/w Original thesis: The short-selling overhang is ending: reduced selling pressure, better liquidity, lower uncertainty, and the potential for a short-covering rally if price holds. The forced buyback dynamic creates asymmetric upside. What happened: Thesis is playing out. Massive weekly move. Price is now +7.4% above EMA20, but RSI is only 54.8 -- not overbought, which is constructive. Right or lucky? Partly both. The setup was sound, but a 30% weekly move also requires market cooperation and short-covering fuel.

2. UBER -- $75.95 (+26% w/w) Original thesis: Attractive valuation. Robotaxi fears are overblown; Uber will act as a demand layer in the robotaxi narrative rather than be displaced by it. What happened: Strong week. RSI has cooled from 63+ to 56.9 while price holds above EMA20 -- a healthy consolidation. Right or lucky? The thesis is playing out. The market appears to be repricing the robotaxi threat.

3. AMAT -- Closed for loss Original thesis: Earnings options play. Expected a double beat with raised guidance, strong margins, and positive management sentiment. What happened: The numbers worked exactly as expected -- double beat, raised guidance, strong margins, confident management -- but the stock sold off anyway. The setup was "priced for perfection"; the market had already embedded the good news, leaving no room for error. Right or lucky? The research was right; the trade structure was wrong for the market's expectations. This is a common earnings trap: correct thesis, wrong risk/reward because the move was already anticipated.

Lessons:

• A "beat" is not enough -- the position needs to be priced for less than the beat.

• Size earnings plays so that a "good report, bad reaction" does not damage the book.

• For next time: ask "what is not in the price?" before structuring an earnings trade. Overall good week 3 positions played out, 1 still on hold , 1 loss. If you want a glimpse into the last position, come to discord and join us!

InsightInvests Tool Now Live for All WHOP Members

Hey everyone, big update.

As a member of this community, you now have full access to InsightInvests our proprietary stock research platform.

This is included with your membership at no extra cost.

What's inside:

- VULCAN Screener — our relative strength flywheel that surfaces stocks building momentum before they move

- Stock Analysis — deep-dive pages on any ticker with technicals, fundamentals, and earnings data

- Flywheel Rankings — live tier rankings (READY / BUILDING / RIDING) updated daily

- Earnings Dashboard — track upcoming earnings with setup scores

- Portfolio Tracker — monitor your positions in one place

How to get access:

1. Go to insightinvests.com/sign-in

2. Click "Sign in with Email"

4. You're in — full access, instantly

Takes 30 seconds. No extra signup, no payment, just use your existing Whop account.

Drop any questions below. Welcome to the insightinvest tool

market recap aug 2-7

published a new report on a ticket we'll be playing next week

Hi everyone, were in the process of migrating from patreon to whop, so bear with me here.. Thank you for all your consideration. Big things happening !