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Splendo SportsSP
@splendosportsยท14h
@splendosportsยท14hPaid
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Splendo SportsSP@splendosportsยท2d
@splendosportsยท2dPinned post
Weekly Sharp Slate Breakdown & Unit Analysis
NFL Week 6 Prime Slate: Data Models & Unit Allocations
VIP recap for the current slate. This is the in-depth breakdown for VIP Exclusive Plays members, with the same framework we use on the board.
Track record (units)
2025: +97.73u
2026 YTD: +378.27u
Units are tracked against posted prices at release. Recaps stay honest: winners, losers, and pushes all count.
Model methodology
Market vs. model. We start from the current number, then compare our projected spread/total to the posted line.
Edge filter. We only post when the gap is large enough after juice. Small edges stay on the watch list.
Context overlay. Injuries, rest, travel, weather, and pace are applied after the base projection, not instead of it.
Price discipline. If the number moves through our number, we pass. No chasing.
Unit allocation (1โ5u)
Use this scale on every play we post:
Units | When we use it |
|---|---|
1u | Lean / smaller sample / noisy injury news |
2u | Standard play with a clean edge |
3u | Strong edge, number still available |
4u | High-conviction, multiple model agreement |
5u | Rare. Max only when price, matchup, and situaitonal factors all line up |
Cap exposure so a 5u play plus two 2u plays does not blow up a night. Bankroll first.
Week 6 prime slate focus
We are on the NFL Week 6 prime slate: Sunday window plus the featured night game. Look for:
Home dogs with rest or travel edges that the market is slow to price
Totals where pace and weather disagree with the public number
Divisional spots where the line is sticky and our model has moved
Official VIP plays drop in Discord with units attached. This post is the framework, not a substitute for the locked card.
How to use this week
Wait for the posted card (units + price).
Take the number we list, or better. Skip if it is gone.
Log results in units, not dollars, so the YTD book stays comparable.
Stay sharp. Protect the book. See you in VIP.
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Splendo SportsSP@splendosportsยท2d
@splendosportsยท2d๐ง Daily Recap ๐ October 7th
Only down because MacKinnon decided to be a bum yesterday ๐คฆ๐ผโโ๏ธ
Down -3.31u yesterday
MLB Walks โพ๏ธ
Miguel Vargas walk (-115) 2u โ
Munetaka Murakami walk (+110) 1u โ
NHL ๐
Jakob Chychrun 3+ shots (-110) 2u โ
Cutter Gauthier 4+ shots (+100) 2u โ
2 leg parlay (-137) 3u โ
Evan Bouchard point โ
Nathan MacKinnon point ๐ค
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Splendo SportsSP@splendosportsยท3d
@splendosportsยท3dPinned post
Ready to step up? Join VIP Exclusive Plays (+378u YTD)
Hey team! If you are following our free picks, you are only seeing a small slice of the board. Across our core models in NFL, NHL, and soccer, our VIP members are up +378.27u YTD with fully transparent unit tracking. We are focusing on: our +378u YTD model tracking and positive ROI
Unlock all daily model plays, unit sizing breakdowns, and full VIP Discord channels here: https://whop.com/splendo/penguin-vip for $30/month.
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Splendo SportsSP@splendosportsยท3d
@splendosportsยท3d๐ง Daily Recap ๐ October 6th
Yesterday was a sweep plus a void ๐งน
Up +8.05u yesterday ๐ฎโ๐จ
Letโs keep up the momentum ๐ซก
UEFA Nations League โฝ๏ธ
2 leg parlay (-115) 3u โ
Slovakia ๐ธ๐ฐ TT Over 1.5 goals
Spain ๐ช๐ธ ML
MLB walks โพ๏ธ
Manny Machado walk (+170) 1u โ
Ha-seong Kim walk (+320) 1u ๐ ฟ๏ธ
NHL ๐
Spencer Knight Over 21.5 Saves (-125) 2u โ
Tage Thompson 4+ shots (+135) 1u โ
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Splendo SportsSP@splendosportsยท5d
@splendosportsยท5d๐ง Daily Recap ๐ October 4th
We have been absolutely killing the NFL ๐ค Up +6.16u on the Sunday slate yesterday ๐
Too bad Soccer and NHL have disappointedโฆ down -0.74u yesterday instead of being up over +14u thanks to one horribly missed shot by Greece and Hertl, then a Josh Allen int at the end of the game ๐
No excuses! We continue today ๐ค
UEFA Nations League
2 leg parlay (-130) 3u โ
Greece ๐ฌ๐ท TT Over 0.5 goals
Netherlands ๐ณ๐ฑ v Serbia ๐ท๐ธ Over 2.5 goals
NFL SUNDAY ๐
๐ด Colts ML (-125) 2u โ
2 Leg ML Parlay (+102) 4u โ
Bills ml
Bears ml
Ted Hurst III 25+ rec yards (+108) 2u โ
Makai Lemon 40+ rec yards (+114) 2u โ
2 Leg ML Parlay (-102) 5u โ
Vikings ml
49ers ml
2 Leg TD Parlay (+190) 2u โ
Kenneth Walker III Touchdown
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Touchdown
Bryce Young 240+ pass yards (-120) 3u โ
Chuba Hubbard Touchdown (-125) 2u โ
NHL ๐
Tomas Hertl 3+ Shots (+125) 3u โ
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Splendo SportsSP@splendosportsยทOct 2
@splendosportsยทOct 2๐ง Daily Recap ๐ October 1st
Yesterday was the perfect start to the new month ๐คฉ
WE SWEPT ALL OUR PLAYS ๐งน
UP +14.82UNITS๐ฎโ๐จ
UEFA Nations League โฝ๏ธ
2 leg parlay (+143) 3u โ
Denmark ๐ฉ๐ฐ v Portugal ๐ต๐น BTTS
Wales ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ v Norway ๐ณ๐ด Over 2.5 goals
MLB walks โพ๏ธ
Kyle Schwarber walk (+112) 1u โ
Ronald Acuรฑa Jr. Walk (+196) 1u โ
TNF ๐
2 leg parlay (+111) 3u โ
Steelers +3.5 alt spread
Jaylen Warren 20+ Rec yards
Denzel Boston 40+ rec yards (-102) FD 2u โ
NHL ๐ Oilers vs Canucks
Leon Draisaitl goals (+100) 2u โ
Vasily Podkolzin 3+ shots (+106) 2u โ
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Splendo SportsSP@splendosportsยทOct 2
@splendosportsยทOct 2Today was legendary ๐คฉ
WE SWEPT ALL OUR PLAYS ๐งน
UP +14.82UNITS TODAY ๐ฎโ๐จ
UEFA Nations League โฝ๏ธ
2 leg parlay (+143) 3u โ
Denmark ๐ฉ๐ฐ v Portugal ๐ต๐น BTTS
Wales ๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ท๓ ฌ๓ ณ๓ ฟ v Norway ๐ณ๐ด Over 2.5 goals
MLB walks โพ๏ธ
Kyle Schwarber walk (+112) 1u โ
Ronald Acuรฑa Jr. Walk (+196) 1u โ
TNF ๐
2 leg parlay (+111) 3u โ
Steelers +3.5 alt spread
Jaylen Warren 20+ Rec yards
Denzel Boston 40+ rec yards (-102) FD 2u โ
NHL ๐ Oilers vs Canucks
Leon Draisaitl goals (+100) 2u โ
Vasily Podkolzin 3+ shots (+106) 2u โ
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Splendo SportsSP@splendosportsยทOct 1
@splendosportsยทOct 1๐ง SPLENDO SEPTEMBER VIP RECAP
September Total: -12.96u ๐
This month was the most hectic month of my history of posting plays to date, each day felt like going to war and each week was filled with highs and lows. We maintained a great record all throughout the month but we threw away all our profit on the finally 2 days with hockey ๐คฆ๐ผโโ๏ธ
Good thing we are still up BIG TIME this year!
Looking back at 2026:๐ ๐
Since Jan 1st: +378.27u ๐ฐ
Since June 1st: +143.50u ๐ค๐
March: +55.00u ๐
April: +91.86u ๐ฑ
June: +60.32u ๐ค
July: +45.88u ๐
August: +50.26u ๐ธ
This is what elite analysis and consistency looks like! There will always be losses but If you support and stick with me through the lows, we will always come out on top ๐ค
Genuinely thank you all for the incredible trust and energy you bring to this community every single day! October will be great! ๐ป
Let's keep printing! ๐ซก๐ธ
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Splendo SportsSP@splendosportsยทSep 28
@splendosportsยทSep 28๐ง WEEKLY VIP RECAP ๐
We absolutely shredded the books this past week, locking in a massive +15.06 UNITS from September 21st to September 27th! ๐จ๐ฐ
We didn't just win this past week we completely predicted the board! If you missed out on this massive run, donโt worry, Iโm doing a MASSIVE giveaway!
Keep an eye out for details on how to enter coming later today ๐ซก