The Coiners

Crypto trading signals, data dashboards, and a trader community powered by VirtualBacon. Track Bitcoin cycles, sector performance, macro eve...
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VirtualBaconProfile picture@virtualbacon·Jun 4

The 3 Bitcoin Cycle Indicators Most Traders Ignore

Most people watch price. Smart money watches the cycle.


After tracking Bitcoin through multiple bull and bear markets, there are 3 indicators that consistently signal major turning points — and almost nobody talks about them:


1. The 200-Week SMA

Bitcoin has never closed a weekly candle below the 200-week SMA in a confirmed bull market. When price taps it during a bear, it's historically been a generational buy zone. Most traders only look at the 200-day. The weekly version tells a completely different story.


2. Fed Net Liquidity

Forget what the Fed says. Track what they do. Net liquidity (Fed balance sheet minus TGA minus reverse repo) has correlated with BTC price direction more reliably than any on-chain metric since 2020. When liquidity expands, risk assets rip. When it contracts, they dump.


3. The Pi Cycle Top Indicator

The 111-day moving average crossing the 350-day x2 moving average has called every single Bitcoin cycle top within 3 days. It's not magic — it's math.


The problem? Most people learn about these indicators after the move already happened.


Inside The Coiners, we track all of these and more — in real time, on a single dashboard, updated weekly with AI analysis. No guesswork, no "trust me bro" calls. Just data.


If you're tired of reacting to the market instead of anticipating it, this is for you.