Trend Rebel

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Trend RebelProfile picture@trendrebel·1d

Midday read — Wednesday, September 23, 2026 · 11:20 AM ET

The record got sold within minutes. S&P 7,725.31 (−0.51%), Nasdaq 27,001.92 (−242.35, −0.89%), Dow 51,675.88 (−187.81, −0.36%). VIX +3.1% to 14.65.

The Nasdaq printed a fresh all-time high of 27,288.79 in the opening minutes and has spent the rest of the morning giving it back. The S&P opened at its session high of 7,761.94 and hasn't traded there since. That's the second straight day the index has opened at its high and faded — yesterday it was subtle, today it's obvious.

Both indexes are now below where they closed Tuesday, which erases yesterday's high-water mark entirely.

Meta is the exception. META +2.59% to $755.68 on Connect day, and it's the only green mega-cap of any size. Three weeks ago this was the stock being punished for spending without a product. Muse changed the story, and the stock has added roughly 14% since Friday.

Everything else is red. GOOGL −2.69% is the worst, AMZN −1.72%, NVDA −1.50%, AAPL −0.72%. Only TSLA at +0.35% joins Meta.

The chips gave up yesterday's memory-led bid too: AVGO −2.20%, SNDK −2.40%, INTC −2.34%, MU −1.40% still holding above $1,080, SMH −1.18%.

Nothing here is a break — the S&P is 1.2% from its record and volatility is still under 15. But two consecutive sessions of selling the open is the kind of pattern that matters if it turns into three.

🍌 See you all on the trading floor

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James@shazamyeah·1d

Check my dm

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Trend RebelProfile picture@trendrebel·2d

⚠️ The Nasdaq closed at a RECORD today — first since June.

The Dow closed 1,006 points below its 50-day, eleven straight sessions under trend, 4.6% off its own record.

Same session. Two different markets.

#Nasdaq #DowJones #Semis

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Trend RebelProfile picture@trendrebel·2d

Midday read — Tuesday, September 22, 2026 · 1:05 PM ET

A new high on one index, red on another. S&P 7,766.37 (+0.02%), Nasdaq 27,220.02 (+0.36%), Dow 51,830.95 (−217.88, −0.42%). VIX −4.2% to 14.25.

The Nasdaq tagged 27,272.73 this morning, clearing its prior 27,190.21 peak. That's an intraday high, not a record close yet, and the index has given some of it back since. Still, one week after the first rate hike since 2023, tech is printing highs.

Memory is doing the lifting. SNDK +6.71% and MU +3.58% to $1,081, with SMH +1.38% and NVDA +1.13% near $230. The rest of the complex is flat after yesterday's run — AMD, AVGO and INTC are all within a quarter-point of unchanged.

The money is coming out of mega-cap software. AMZN −1.41%, GOOGL −1.04% and MSFT −0.94% are all red, and that's why the S&P is flat while the Nasdaq holds green. The Dow has no chips to lean on, so it's carrying the worst of the rotation.

The S&P opened near its high at 7,781 and has faded all morning, so the green screen overstates the buying underneath.

Tomorrow is Meta Connect, with Muse on stage and the stock already up more than 10% in two sessions.

🍌 See you all on the trading floor

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Trend RebelProfile picture@trendrebel·3d
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Trend RebelProfile picture@trendrebel·3d

Midday read — Monday, September 21, 2026 · 1:15 PM ET

Straight up from the bell. S&P 7,758.56 (+1.41%), Nasdaq 27,061.50 (+2.03%), Dow 52,044.92 (+362.28, +0.70%). VIX 15.01.

The S&P opened at 7,692 and hasn't had a meaningful pullback all session. The Nasdaq now sits less than half a percent from its record at 27,190, and the S&P is within 0.75% of its own. Five days after the first rate hike since 2023, the market is closer to all-time highs than it was going in.

Meta is the headline. META +10.32% to $733.85. Muse, the personal AI agent it launched September 8, has climbed to the top of the App Store, and the company says it's now pulling more daily US downloads than Threads, WhatsApp and Facebook combined. Connect is Wednesday. Two weeks ago Meta was the stock the market punished for spending with nothing to sell. Now it has a subscription product people are actually downloading, and the stock is up about 10% in a single session to prove it.

The chips are running right behind it. INTC +12.28% extending the US memory-manufacturing story, AMD +8.72% to $608, SMH +3.53%, MU +2.29% back above $1,039, NVDA +2.16%. Every name in the complex that got flushed on last Monday's frontier-slowdown scare is now well above where it started.

Two laggards worth noting. SNDK −2.59% is still unwinding its summer melt-up, and XOM −3.28% has energy as the one clearly red corner of the board.

Wednesday is the setup: Meta Connect puts Muse on stage with the stock already up 10% on the day before the event.

🍌 See you all on the trading floor

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Trend RebelProfile picture@trendrebel·Sep 17

⚠️ Stocks ripped back: S&P +1.1%, Nasdaq +1.7%, VIX -12.9%.

But Warsh called the 25bp hike "removing a dose of accommodation" and said he's hard pressed to call financial conditions restrictive.

Translation: by his own read, policy still isn't tight.

#Fed

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Trend RebelProfile picture@trendrebel·Sep 17
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Trend RebelProfile picture@trendrebel·Sep 16
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Trend RebelProfile picture@trendrebel·Sep 16
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Trend RebelProfile picture@trendrebel·Sep 15